{
  "schema": "nutricoach-telegram-checkin-stepper-task-10-cron-no-send-recovery-analysis-v1",
  "task_id": "st_01a05b16",
  "generated_at": "2026-09-01T12:55:00+09:00",
  "verdict": "NO_SAFE_PATH",
  "confidence": 0.99,
  "mode": "read_only_analysis_except_required_evidence_file",
  "summary": "Installed r70 has no supported maintenance/skip/health-only transition that can both prevent all Telegram provider I/O and truthfully change the NutriCoach schedule dispatcher's latest status to ok after one restart. A fresh process can reacquire the stale canonical pins, but the next admitted current-day weekly dispatch finds no Topic-59 customer/day slot. Topic59PublicationLedger.claim then durably chooses send and appends prepared then sending before the revalidating Telegram transport. Pausing the cron job or running a no-due tick performs no mark_job_run and leaves latest=error. Making weekly/card capability unavailable is recorded as ok by the generic scheduler, but is not a healthy weekly-enabled recovery and requires protected configuration/runtime divergence. Any synthetic current-day sent_audited/noop state would falsely claim a provider receipt; any prepared/sending/failed/unknown/pre-call rejection becomes an incident and the cron run remains error. Therefore no evidence-safe operational sequence satisfies the requested conjunction.",
  "decision_guard": {
    "single_guard": "For a projected current-day Topic-59 card, Topic59PublicationLedger.claim has only one no-provider success path: an existing same-slot SENT_AUDITED row with a real message_id and unchanged logical_key returns noop. When the current customer/day slot is absent it unconditionally reserves operation=send, appending PREPARED and SENDING. There is no authenticated maintenance/suppressed/skipped terminal state checked before that reservation, and the dispatcher treats REFUSED or INCIDENT as a cron failure.",
    "installed_code": [
      {
        "path": "/home/cube/.hermes/profiles/dualcoachtest/.strict-runtime/81a7a06e-v150/venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/gateway/platforms/nutrition_weekly_operations_ledger.py",
        "lines": "26-57,85-94",
        "evidence": "No slot calls _reserve(..., send, None); _reserve appends prepared then sending. Only sent_audited with message_id and equal logical_key returns noop. Every other existing non-audited state, including failed and unknown, returns unresolved_reservation incident."
      },
      {
        "path": "/home/cube/.hermes/profiles/dualcoachtest/.strict-runtime/81a7a06e-v150/venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/gateway/platforms/nutrition_weekly_operations.py",
        "lines": "57-102",
        "evidence": "publish calls claim; send/edit actions call transport; only noop returns successful no-provider disposition; incident/refusal remains non-successful."
      },
      {
        "path": "/home/cube/.hermes/profiles/dualcoachtest/.strict-runtime/81a7a06e-v150/venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/gateway/platforms/nutrition_weekly_dispatcher.py",
        "lines": "166-263",
        "evidence": "Each weekly-authority customer projects today's sidecar card on every enabled tick, independent of reminder/cutoff time. REFUSED and INCIDENT are raised as WeeklyOperationsDispatchIncident."
      },
      {
        "path": "/home/cube/.hermes/profiles/dualcoachtest/.strict-runtime/81a7a06e-v150/venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/gateway/platforms/nutrition_weekly_dispatcher_transport.py",
        "lines": "59-106",
        "evidence": "An admitted send/edit revalidates authority and then invokes the live host Telegram method; a failed revalidation is a known failure recorded terminally, not a successful maintenance skip."
      },
      {
        "path": "/home/cube/.hermes/profiles/dualcoachtest/.strict-runtime/81a7a06e-v150/venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/cron/scheduler.py",
        "lines": "2054-2144,2165-2354",
        "evidence": "The nutrition inline-card job calls launch_scheduled_card and marks ok only for sent, duplicate, or disabled; otherwise it marks error. A tick with no due jobs returns zero without calling mark_job_run."
      },
      {
        "path": "/home/cube/.hermes/profiles/dualcoachtest/.strict-runtime/81a7a06e-v150/venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/cron/jobs.py",
        "lines": "883-936,958-1031,1138-1223",
        "evidence": "pause/resume mutate enabled/state/next_run_at but preserve last_status. Only mark_job_run changes last_status. Restart catch-up may fast-forward a stale recurring run, but the next future run is still eligible."
      }
    ]
  },
  "observed_state_basis": {
    "evidence_read": [
      "task-10-debug-observer-r70.json",
      "task-10-debug-cron.json",
      "task-10-r70-health-recovery.json",
      "task-10-next-cron-no-send.json",
      "task-10-r71-production.json",
      "task-9-r71-preseal-rehearsal.json",
      "task-8-r71-r3-preseal-verify.json"
    ],
    "cron": {
      "job_id": "6e042d5dff68",
      "name": "NutriCoach schedule dispatcher",
      "enabled": true,
      "state": "scheduled",
      "schedule": "* * * * *",
      "inline_card": "nutrition-coaching-tick",
      "delivery": "local",
      "latest_status_at_investigated_boundary": "error",
      "latest_error_class": "weekly operations failed: canonical authority identity drift",
      "last_success_before_series": "2026-09-01T09:36:46+09:00",
      "first_error_in_series": "2026-09-01T09:37:46+09:00"
    },
    "next_tick_oracle": {
      "fresh_restart_assumption": "Canonical descriptors/pins are freshly acquired, so safety may not rely on the currently stale in-memory pin failing early.",
      "due_send_count_per_independent_future_tick": 1,
      "due_update_count_per_independent_future_tick": 0,
      "uncertain_prior_topic59_slot_count": 2,
      "current_day_topic59_slot_count": 0,
      "safe_to_restart": false
    },
    "observer_separation": "The observer-r70 first_day_status defect is independent and is fixed only in current worktree source; the sealed r71 candidate-r3 does not contain that observer runtime edit. Even a hypothetical cron success would not by itself repair or append observer-r70 PASS."
  },
  "exact_next_scheduler_behavior": {
    "after_bare_restart": [
      "The r70 service constructs a fresh coordinator and reacquires canonical file pins.",
      "If persisted next_run_at is within the recurring-job grace window, get_due_jobs admits it; if stale beyond grace, it is fast-forwarded to the next future minute. No stale burst is replayed.",
      "Before dispatch, advance_next_run moves the recurring schedule forward under the jobs lock.",
      "run_one_job invokes nutrition-coaching-tick under Task26 scheduled_transport authority.",
      "The enabled weekly policy dispatches every weekly-authority customer and projects the current KST day sidecar card even when reminder and cutoff tasks are not due.",
      "Because the current customer/day Topic-59 card_slot is absent, claim appends PREPARED then SENDING and returns operation=send.",
      "RevalidatingTopic59Transport then can call the Telegram provider. Thus zero provider I/O cannot be guaranteed. A real receipt would lead to DELIVERED then SENT_AUDITED and cron ok; a known/unknown failure leads to a terminal incident and cron error."
    ],
    "after_supported_pause_restart_resume": [
      "pause sets enabled=false and state=paused but leaves last_status=error.",
      "During restart and while paused, get_due_jobs skips the job; an empty tick does not update last_status.",
      "resume sets enabled=true, state=scheduled, and computes a future next_run_at, again preserving last_status=error.",
      "At that future minute the same absent-current-slot send path is admitted."
    ],
    "prior_uncertain_slots": "The two old latest=sending slots are provider-at-most-once incidents: card_slot includes customer identity and KST day, and claim examines only rows for the projected slot, so they are not retried and do not directly block a different current-day reservation. They may safely remain untouched with respect to replay, but they remain truthful uncertain incidents and fail the explicit zero-uncertain restart oracle; converting them to failed or sent_audited without provider evidence is forbidden."
  },
  "candidate_operational_paths": [
    {
      "id": "cron_pause_restart_resume",
      "supported_commands_not_executed": [
        "/home/cube/.hermes/profiles/dualcoachtest/.strict-runtime/81a7a06e-v150/venv/bin/hermes --profile dualcoachtest cron pause 6e042d5dff68",
        "systemctl --user restart hermes-gateway-dualcoachtest.service",
        "/home/cube/.hermes/profiles/dualcoachtest/.strict-runtime/81a7a06e-v150/venv/bin/hermes --profile dualcoachtest cron resume 6e042d5dff68"
      ],
      "supported_api_not_called": [
        "POST /api/jobs/6e042d5dff68/pause",
        "POST /api/jobs/6e042d5dff68/resume"
      ],
      "state_transitions": [
        "enabled=true,state=scheduled,last_status=error -> enabled=false,state=paused,last_status=error",
        "restart while paused -> no due execution and last_status remains error",
        "resume -> enabled=true,state=scheduled,next_run_at=future,last_status=error",
        "next due run -> absent current Topic-59 slot -> prepared -> sending -> provider boundary"
      ],
      "verdict": "REJECTED",
      "reason": "It suppresses execution only while paused and cannot produce latest ok. Resuming restores the unsafe send eligibility."
    },
    {
      "id": "manual_empty_or_health_tick",
      "supported_commands_not_executed": [
        "/home/cube/.hermes/profiles/dualcoachtest/.strict-runtime/81a7a06e-v150/venv/bin/hermes --profile dualcoachtest cron status",
        "/home/cube/.hermes/profiles/dualcoachtest/.strict-runtime/81a7a06e-v150/venv/bin/hermes --profile dualcoachtest cron tick"
      ],
      "state_transitions": [
        "cron status is read-only and writes no execution result",
        "cron tick with the job paused/not due returns zero and does not call mark_job_run",
        "last_status therefore remains error"
      ],
      "verdict": "REJECTED",
      "reason": "No operator dry-run or health-only tick exists that writes a truthful job success. Triggering the job with `hermes --profile dualcoachtest cron run 6e042d5dff68` merely makes the real delivery job due and reaches the unsafe path."
    },
    {
      "id": "temporary_weekly_or_capability_disable",
      "commands": [],
      "state_transitions": [
        "If weekly/card capability is unavailable, launch_scheduled_card returns disabled and the generic scheduler marks ok.",
        "The weekly platform config is injected into the process at startup; restoring config bytes after a disabled startup does not prove the running process has healthy enabled weekly dispatch.",
        "A later restart from restored bytes reintroduces the current-day send."
      ],
      "verdict": "REJECTED",
      "reason": "There is no supported transactional maintenance control for this purpose. config.yaml is stable/protected. Using scheduler's capability-disabled success would misrepresent weekly health, violate the required healthy weekly_enabled condition, and be incompatible with truthful preflight/runtime state."
    },
    {
      "id": "customer_pause_or_safety_hold",
      "state_transitions": [
        "The authenticated customer-service-state ledger can set a customer active/paused and customer_transport_allowed observes it for generic customer delivery.",
        "The weekly Topic-59 path does not call customer_transport_allowed or customer_service_paused; its immediate authority predicate is _same_snapshot plus weekly_operations_authority_current.",
        "The customer-service-state file is stable/protected, not an explicitly volatile maintenance fence."
      ],
      "verdict": "REJECTED",
      "reason": "The supported pause is not a weekly Topic-59 send fence and mutating it cannot guarantee zero provider I/O."
    },
    {
      "id": "pre_call_failure_or_current_slot_incident",
      "state_transitions": [
        "Authority rejection before claim -> REFUSED -> dispatcher failure -> cron error.",
        "Authority loss after claim -> PREPARED -> SENDING -> known failure FAILED -> INCIDENT -> cron error.",
        "Precreating PREPARED/SENDING/FAILED/UNKNOWN for the current slot -> unresolved reservation INCIDENT -> cron error.",
        "Precreating SENT_AUDITED/noop requires a real message_id/receipt; without one it fabricates delivery and is forbidden."
      ],
      "verdict": "REJECTED",
      "reason": "No truthful terminal skip/maintenance state exists. Failure prevents a call only by keeping latest status error, and reservation-based variants mutate the business ledger."
    },
    {
      "id": "existing_idempotency_or_maintenance_file",
      "state_transitions": [
        "scheduled-deliveries-fence.json authenticates the generic scheduled-deliveries ledger but does not gate weekly-operations-topic59.jsonl.",
        "customer-service-state is authenticated but ignored by the weekly Topic-59 publisher.",
        "weekly-operations-topic59.jsonl is the only current-slot idempotency surface, and its no-call success requires a genuine sent_audited receipt.",
        "No profile-local authenticated volatile maintenance/suppress file is read before Topic59PublicationLedger.claim."
      ],
      "verdict": "REJECTED",
      "reason": "No existing file has the required authenticated, volatile, pre-reservation semantics."
    },
    {
      "id": "distinct_health_check_substitution",
      "state_transitions": [
        "Observer weekly_enabled checks configuration enablement, not cron execution success.",
        "cron status checks gateway/job presence, not a successful dispatch.",
        "The Todo10 production gate separately requires the schedule dispatcher's latest run status to be success."
      ],
      "verdict": "REJECTED",
      "reason": "No distinct health receipt is recognized as a substitute for cron latest success."
    }
  ],
  "protected_inventory_impact": {
    "authenticated_inventory": "/home/cube/.hermes/migrations/nutricoach-v1.5.0-combined/preflight-v15-runtime-authority-r71/snapshot-before.json",
    "inventory_sha256": "d2c084be0865f8e9844452a7b683f97800e31af9bc7e1a113241109a283aada5",
    "classification_code": "/home/cube/projects/richard/.worktrees/nutricoach-v150-combined/scripts/nutricoach_v150_live_upgrade_state.py:20-57",
    "paths": [
      {
        "path": "cron/jobs.json",
        "classification": "volatile",
        "impact": "Supported pause/resume may change it without stable inventory drift, but cannot set success. Restoring its exact pre-pause bytes would also restore the prior error status."
      },
      {
        "path": "config.yaml",
        "classification": "stable/protected",
        "impact": "Temporary weekly disable is not an allowed volatile hold and byte restoration does not establish matching running in-memory weekly configuration."
      },
      {
        "path": "data/owner-actions/customer-service-state.json",
        "classification": "stable/protected",
        "impact": "The supported customer pause audit is protected and does not fence Topic-59 weekly transport."
      },
      {
        "path": "data/scheduled-deliveries-fence.json",
        "classification": "stable/protected",
        "impact": "It does not govern Topic-59 publication."
      },
      {
        "path": "data/scheduled-deliveries.jsonl",
        "classification": "volatile",
        "impact": "Current-day generic daily work is already sent_audited, but this cannot suppress the separate Topic-59 ledger."
      },
      {
        "path": "data/weekly-operations-topic59.jsonl",
        "classification": "absent from the inherited protected inventory and not explicitly listed volatile",
        "impact": "It is nevertheless the truthful customer-delivery business ledger. It must not be synthesized, rolled back, or converted without provider evidence."
      },
      {
        "path": "new maintenance fence",
        "classification": "stable by default under the current classifier",
        "impact": "A future package must explicitly authenticate and classify the exact fence/audit path as volatile; an ad hoc file today is neither recognized nor safe."
      }
    ],
    "preflight_behavior": "The sealed controller verifies the authenticated inventory file digest, uses inventory stable rows as protected path membership, captures current protected hashes, and verifies them again through the stop/switch transaction. Restoring bytes before capture cannot make an unhealthy in-memory disabled weekly runtime truthful, and direct byte restoration is not a supported ledger operation."
  },
  "candidate_r3_preseal_compatibility": {
    "r71_candidate": "/home/cube/projects/richard/traning coach/.omo/evidence/nutricoach-v150-combined/task-v15r71-candidate-r3",
    "r71_preseal": "/home/cube/.hermes/migrations/nutricoach-v1.5.0-combined/live-transaction-preseal-v15-runtime-authority-r71",
    "candidate_digest": "a41c97c8a467b0308b9f50ac072cc3adae1c2d47ca515b76f123e7c1debee9be",
    "preseal_tree_sha256": "a76a0961829d8222814c1c88fac8e68f90ad7faf822e6d5ea3efb655545b7ee8",
    "unsafe_path_parity": [
      {
        "module": "gateway/platforms/nutrition_weekly_operations_ledger.py",
        "sha256": "b31d696cdbd814755a2ddba94e5007e0c84fef397813763aaa915c658a52c3b4"
      },
      {
        "module": "gateway/platforms/nutrition_weekly_operations.py",
        "sha256": "52020ac1bd42d8812f7b69d5b74be6322885f6746159298df81a750a1e39d930"
      },
      {
        "module": "gateway/platforms/nutrition_weekly_dispatcher.py",
        "sha256": "616b8b4da48d9c2c89336d9e791339c7401c354d67f38831af0f5d155a492cc8"
      },
      {
        "module": "gateway/platforms/nutrition_weekly_dispatcher_transport.py",
        "sha256": "121cd4ff9ee4859e6a54882d9234d857af5e7265e0aad5dbc2fb783801a326ec"
      },
      {
        "module": "cron/scheduler.py",
        "sha256": "bfe56dcc74a08278671e3e373b0eb8ce624a093b6ed0ad365464e87b1de89709"
      }
    ],
    "parity_statement": "Each listed hash is identical across installed r70, worktree, frozen candidate-r3, and r71 preseal controller-source. Consequently deploying the already sealed r71 does not add a no-send recovery guard. Candidate-r3 and preseal were not mutated."
  },
  "required_decision_or_package_change": {
    "operator_decision_without_code": "No zero-send recovery can be authorized. The only existing operational choice that can yield a truthful successful current-day run is to permit the real provider attempt and preserve its receipt/outcome; that violates this task's zero-provider-I/O requirement and is not recommended under the current uncertain-delivery gate.",
    "minimal_new_package_guard": "Add an authenticated, expiring, candidate/config/route-bound Topic-59 maintenance suppression checked before Topic59PublicationLedger.claim and before any PREPARED/SENDING append. A valid hold must return a typed successful SUPPRESSED/NOOP_MAINTENANCE disposition, append a separate truthful terminal skip audit containing no delivery receipt, make repeat ticks idempotent, never reinterpret old sending slots, and be treated by the weekly dispatcher as successful no-provider work. Malformed, stale, wrong-candidate, wrong-route, or unauthenticated holds must fail closed before provider I/O and must not fabricate success.",
    "packaging_consequence": "The current candidate-r3 and r71 preseal are immutable and already bind the unchanged unsafe modules. The guard requires a newly sealed package/preseal and authority decision. Because the r71 preseal/prefight names are occupied and must not be deleted or reused, the normal immutable path is a new generation (practically r72), unless the user defines and authorizes a separate fresh one-use r71 authority namespace while preserving the existing r71 tombstone/preseal unchanged.",
    "required_tests": [
      "Installed-wheel test: valid authenticated hold plus fresh canonical pin acquisition runs two exact future ticks with fake transport and socket guard; both return success, provider sends=0, provider updates=0, network attempts=0.",
      "Ledger test: valid hold is evaluated before claim; weekly-operations-topic59.jsonl gains no prepared/sending/delivered/sent_audited row and no fake message_id. The separate skip audit is terminal, hash/integrity checked, and duplicate ticks are idempotent.",
      "Negative matrix: absent, malformed, expired, replayed, wrong-candidate, wrong-config, wrong-route, symlink, wrong-owner/mode, and tampered holds fail closed with zero provider calls and no delivery-state fabrication.",
      "Incident test: two historical latest=sending slots remain unchanged and never retry; a valid current-day hold still permits a successful no-provider tick without rewriting those incidents.",
      "Scheduler integration: LaunchResult for the held weekly tick is successful and mark_job_run writes last_status=ok; paused/no-due ticks still do not fabricate success.",
      "Inventory test: only the exact authenticated maintenance hold/audit path is explicitly volatile; config, customer-service-state, scheduled-deliveries fence, authority registry, and delivery ledgers remain protected under existing contracts.",
      "Restart trace: subscribe to the exact scheduler completion signal before the single controlled restart, await bounded completion, and prove no transport callback was invoked; no sleeps or timing-luck polling.",
      "Candidate/preseal closure: reproducible wheels, candidate verifier, preseal verifier, sealed controller suite, observer binding inclusion, protected-byte equality, and no-network manual oracle all pass from installed artifacts."
    ]
  },
  "no_replay_rules": [
    "Do not restart r70 while the job is enabled under the current package.",
    "Do not invoke cron run/tick as a recovery test against live state.",
    "Do not append a current-day sent_audited/delivered row without a provider receipt.",
    "Do not convert either old sending slot to failed or unknown without evidence of the actual provider outcome.",
    "Do not preclaim the current-day Topic-59 slot; it only creates another unresolved incident and cannot produce cron success.",
    "Do not disable weekly/config, restore bytes, and claim runtime health from the file view while the process retains disabled injected configuration.",
    "Do not delete, rewrite, chmod, or reuse candidate-r3, r71 preseal, or r71 preflight roots."
  ],
  "forbidden_effects": {
    "git_or_github_actions": 0,
    "source_edits": 0,
    "live_config_or_ledger_mutations": 0,
    "cron_job_mutations": 0,
    "cron_ticks_or_jobs_executed": 0,
    "service_restarts": 0,
    "observer_appends": 0,
    "network_or_provider_actions": 0,
    "telegram_sends": 0,
    "telegram_updates": 0,
    "customer_or_authority_actions": 0,
    "candidate_or_preseal_mutations": 0,
    "customer_values_exposed": false
  },
  "deliverable": "/home/cube/projects/richard/traning coach/.omo/evidence/nutricoach-telegram-checkin-stepper/task-10-cron-no-send-recovery-analysis.json"
}
